An Enduring Ceasefire Between the Israeli State and the Palestinian Territories? We have Seen This Pattern – The Result Was Further Conflict

So, what year are we in? An American leader, subsequent to lengthy of quiet support, has at last become involved to stop an offensive by Israeli forces that has reduced extensive sections of a Middle Eastern city to rubble, resulting in thousands killed and sparking global outrage.

The offensive has been preceded by a succession of attacks on Israel. Currently, under pressure from the US administration, the Israel's leader, a rightwinger with an aptitude for popular speech and an intense sense of historical Jewish national duty, has consented to a halt in hostilities.

Historical Comparisons

The time period is not the current year, but the early 1980s. The urban center is not present-day Gaza, but Beirut, Lebanon. The American president is Ronald Reagan, not today's leadership.

There are many differences between the situation in Lebanon over four in the past and what has happened in the Gaza Strip in the last 24 months. The militant assault of last year, which caused over a thousand and involved two hundred fifty taken hostage, bears little comparison with the somewhat modest efforts of the PLO in the period prior to Israel's invasion of Lebanon.

Uncanny Similarities

Several similarities are remarkable. The US leader eventually contacted the counterpart, informing him that what was happening in Beirut was "a catastrophe" and saying the relations between their states could be gravely damaged if the fighting continued.

In 1982, much as today, the conflict unfolded in immediate coverage on televisions worldwide. Numerous correspondents flew into the capital to document for the first time an regional battle without media restrictions by the combatants.

Results and Outcomes

The events following the communication from American leadership and the halt in fighting in the city is instructive. The Palestinian organization, its factions and leaders were spread across vast distances and a dozen countries.

The US administration then withdrew multinational troops – an infringement of the understanding with the Palestinian leader. The elected leader, the country's recently chosen head of state and Israel's chosen ally, was murdered by Syrian intelligence.

Regional Transformation

The same was true across the broader area. By the conclusion of that decade, the predominantly worldly and modern approaches that had appeared to provide the promise of a different tomorrow in the Middle Eastern nations years before were weakened.

The outcomes of this became very clear, in short order

Across the region, the Israeli state and the US now confronted opponents who were considerably more intractable, deadly and capable than the secular movements and independence advocates of earlier years.

International Reaction

Among Western nations, the outcomes of this were counterintuitive. Through the that decade, global observers and officials had attempted to comprehend what led to violent extremism.

Then, in the beginning of that decade, this stopped. National figures in the America, the United Kingdom and additional countries were lost interest in "underlying reasons" of conflict.

Modern Parallels

Recently, accounts show that present administration communicated to the nation's leadership that the state could not confront global opinion and recognized Palestinian aspirations for a sovereign entity.

This too was an parallel of historical precedent. In the aftermath of the Israeli invasion of the neighboring country, earlier administration told Israel that the strength of its armed forces alone could not "establish just and lasting peace" and acknowledged "proper claims of the Palestinian population."

But a internationally-backed diplomatic initiative supposed to address those grievances stalled completely. Abroad, political figures observed impotently.

International interest in the area waned. The state opposed compromises. Afterward, there was the major unrest, and the establishment of further armed organizations.

  • The repetitions of history offer sobering perspectives for present-day resolution attempts
  • Permanent settlements require addressing fundamental problems rather than brief halts
  • Area politics continue to develop in complicated and often unpredictable ways
Brian Valdez
Brian Valdez

Wildlife biologist and sloth conservation advocate with over a decade of field research in Central and South American rainforests.